CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$104.68
0.35 (0.34%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.65
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $104.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.59 to $104.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.43 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.43 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$102.59 -
$104.81
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($122.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$102.59 -
$104.81
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.39
Resistance Level
$105.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.70
Wall Street Target
$122.43
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.37
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$106.43
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$107.49
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$217.77
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 5.9%)
$124.01
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 5.9%)
$105.41
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.06
Bull Case
$116.37
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.9%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$105.79
(+1%)
Market implied 1.9%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$70.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
13000 shares
2025-08-21
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
37000 shares
2025-08-20
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCK price and gamma walls.
