CCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCS - CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.
$69.99
0.15 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.68%
30d:
+28.63%
90d:
+21.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CCS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.99
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCS is currently trading at $69.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.31 to $67.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.58, while resistance sits at $72.91.
Market Sentiment: CCS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.58, while resistance sits at $72.91.
Market Sentiment: CCS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$54.31 -
$67.42
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.4% growth with -12.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.31 -
$67.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.58
Resistance Level
$72.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.07
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.6%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 10.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.17
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$96.47
(+38%)
3-Year Target
$113.25
(+62%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.66
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$108.69
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$85.19
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 6.8%)
$52.40
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.44
Bull Case
$70.94
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.7%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$64.49
(-8%)
Market implied -7.7%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$47.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dale Francescon
SELL
100100 shares
2026-02-12
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