CEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CEG - Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock
$280.68
-6.77 (-2.36%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CEG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CEG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$546.10
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$339.08
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CEG is currently trading at $280.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $296.93 to $357.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CEG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $278.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CEG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $406.46 (+41.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CEG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $278.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CEG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $406.46 (+41.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$296.93 -
$357.40
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CEG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($406.46)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$296.93 -
$357.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$278.23
Resistance Level
$323.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.88
Wall Street Target
$406.46
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 29.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$271.64
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$256.70
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$242.58
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→30)
$287.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 23.6%)
$542.42
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.6%)
$486.11
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 23.6%)
$413.19
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.72
Bull Case
$419.61
(+50%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 36.3
Base Case
$381.47
(+36%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 33.0
Bear Case
$195.81
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 29.5
Stabilization Target:
$340.78
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced CEG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CEG price and gamma walls.
