CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$39.76
1.02 (2.63%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
+10.51%
90d:
-3.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
8d
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1 traders called CGNX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CGNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CGNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.87
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $39.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.30 to $40.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.2) is in line with its historical norms (32.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.23, while resistance sits at $42.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.05 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.23, while resistance sits at $42.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.05 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$37.30 -
$40.29
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($48.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 18.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.30 -
$40.29
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.23
Resistance Level
$42.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.17
Wall Street Target
$48.05
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
35.2 vs 32.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.69
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$42.69
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.2, Growth: 17.5%)
$64.45
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.5%)
$40.86
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$34.73
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.45
Bull Case
$46.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$38.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$29.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Willett
SELL
6704 shares
2025-10-21
Sheila Marie Dipalma
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-08
Sheila Marie Dipalma
SELL
2002 shares
2025-09-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNX price and gamma walls.
