CHE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHE - Chemed Corporation
$489.66
8.79 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+8.06%
30d:
+17.37%
90d:
+29.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
29d
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1 traders called CHE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$619.65
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$384.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHE is currently trading at $489.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $423.61 to $458.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $492.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $492.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$423.61 -
$458.88
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($446.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 1.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$423.61 -
$458.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$428.12
Resistance Level
$492.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.21
Wall Street Target
$446.50
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$508.27
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$527.58
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$547.63
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$490.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$788.57
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 10.4%)
$659.49
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 10.4%)
$560.57
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.30
Bull Case
$777.03
(+59%)
Analyst growth 46.9%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$706.39
(+44%)
Market implied 46.9%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$326.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin J Mcnamara
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-12
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