CIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$12.35
-0.61 (-4.71%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.26
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $12.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.63 -
$13.09
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.63 -
$13.09
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.25
Resistance Level
$13.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.97
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-75.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
29.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.21
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.08
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$11.95
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$12.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.5%)
$74.72
(+505%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$20.02
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 17.5%)
$17.02
(+38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$12.82
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CIM price and gamma walls.
