CLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLF - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

METAL MINING
$8.33
0.22 (2.71%) ▲
5d: +3.74%
30d: -21.86%
90d: -39.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

CLF is down 22.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-03-20 with 9,301 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CLF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -35.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.99
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.14
48.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $8.33, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.31 to $10.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (39.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 35.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.73, while resistance sits at $8.77.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.08 (+61.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $8.31 - $10.64
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 61.3% below Wall St target ($13.08)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.31 - $10.64
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.73
Resistance Level $8.77
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.93
Wall Street Target $13.08 (+61.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -99.4%
Profit Margin -7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -35.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 39.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -35.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.30 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.57 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.91 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→40) $21.58 (+166%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 39.9
Stabilization Target: $29.61 (+265.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +265.1%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clifford T Smith SELL 200000 shares 2026-02-17
Edilson Camara BUY 19700 shares 2026-02-13
Lourenco Goncalves SELL 3000000 shares 2026-02-11

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Advanced CLF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLF price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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