CMCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCO - Columbus McKinnon Corp/NY
$21.08
-0.04 (-0.19%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMCO trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CMCO trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.55
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.38
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCO is currently trading at $21.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.03 to $20.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.75 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.75 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.03 -
$20.91
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CMCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($26.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 7.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.03 -
$20.91
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.75
Resistance Level
$21.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.15
Wall Street Target
$26.75
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 6.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.37
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$23.73
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$25.18
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.3%)
$65.42
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 4.3%)
$23.91
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 4.3%)
$19.95
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.94 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.93
Bull Case
$25.45
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$21.08
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$16.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CMCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCO price and gamma walls.
