CMCSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCSA - Comcast Corp
$29.75
0.51 (1.74%)
β²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.07
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $29.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.20 to $29.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.75 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.75 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$28.20 -
$29.62
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with -2.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.20 -
$29.62
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.56
Resistance Level
$30.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.62
Wall Street Target
$33.75
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.00
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.78
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$31.58
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β7)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.43
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -8.7%)
$65.25
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -8.7%)
$22.29
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -8.7%)
$18.95
(-35%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.02
Bull Case
$20.13
(-31%)
Analyst growth -36.2%, PE expands to 5.2
Base Case
$18.30
(-37%)
Market implied -36.2%, PE stable at 4.8
Bear Case
$19.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCSA price and gamma walls.