CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$28.97
-0.38 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
+14.42%
90d:
+26.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.80
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $28.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.41 to $28.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.2) compared to its historical average (23.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.61, while resistance sits at $32.39.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.61, while resistance sits at $32.39.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.41 -
$28.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.41 -
$28.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.61
Resistance Level
$32.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.21
Wall Street Target
$28.25
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 23.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.93
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.91
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$31.93
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 39.3%)
$78.37
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 39.3%)
$66.07
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 39.3%)
$56.16
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.96
Bull Case
$34.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$28.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$22.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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