CMPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMPR - Cimpress PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)
$79.09
1.08 (1.38%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.36
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMPR is currently trading at $79.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.32 to $79.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.01, while resistance sits at $82.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.01, while resistance sits at $82.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.50 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$69.32 -
$79.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.32 -
$79.94
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.85
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.01
Resistance Level
$82.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.19
Wall Street Target
$91.50
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.87
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$68.99
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$64.44
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$79.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 34.9%)
$251.81
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 34.9%)
$194.15
(+146%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 34.9%)
$165.03
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.31
Bull Case
$95.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$79.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$60.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$97.06
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CMPR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMPR price and gamma walls.
