CNCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNCK - Coincheck Group N.V. Ordinary Shares
$2.86
0.51 (21.70%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNCK is currently trading at $2.86, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.49 to $2.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.2) compared to its historical average (0.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNCK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.22, while resistance sits at $2.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 21.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.72 (+143.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNCK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.22, while resistance sits at $2.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 21.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.72 (+143.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$2.49 -
$2.91
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+21.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 143.5% below Wall St target ($5.72)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.49 -
$2.91
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.22
Resistance Level
$2.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.16
Wall Street Target
$5.72
(+143.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.9%
Profit Margin
-4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.2 vs 0.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.25
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$2.15
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$2.05
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$2.57
(+9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.2 to 0.2
Stabilization Target:
$2.94
(+25.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 AM
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Advanced CNCK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNCK price and gamma walls.
