FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$134.64
-6.87 (-4.85%)
▼
5d:
-6.88%
30d:
-18.43%
90d:
-8.23%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$267.14
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.87
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $134.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.27 to $163.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.2) compared to its historical average (1.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.07 (+71.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $132.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $231.07 (+71.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$144.27 -
$163.09
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 71.6% below Wall St target ($231.07)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.27 -
$163.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.13
Resistance Level
$168.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.24
Wall Street Target
$231.07
(+71.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.3%
Profit Margin
53.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.00
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$114.21
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$105.18
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$136.00
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.0%)
$3561.89
(+2546%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$199.72
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 14.0%)
$169.76
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.25
Bull Case
$311.32
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$283.02
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$96.23
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 1.6
Stabilization Target:
$174.08
(+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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