FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$95.04
-4.88 (-4.88%)
▼
5d:
-3.14%
30d:
-6.8%
90d:
-32.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.27
41.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $95.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.52 to $102.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $117.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.88 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $117.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.88 (+70.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$93.52 -
$102.80
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.3% below Wall St target ($161.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.52 -
$102.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.78
Resistance Level
$117.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.99
Wall Street Target
$161.88
(+70.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.7%
Profit Margin
45.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$76.98
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$69.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$97.83
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.7%)
$5108.08
(+5275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 34.7%)
$232.53
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 34.7%)
$197.65
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.05
Bull Case
$219.82
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$199.84
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$67.95
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.20
(+41.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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