CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$29.24
0.70 (2.45%)
▲
5d:
+4.02%
30d:
+2.2%
90d:
+25.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.99
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $29.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.23 to $28.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.23 -
$28.37
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.23 -
$28.37
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.17
Resistance Level
$29.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.20
Wall Street Target
$31.82
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.00
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.46
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$29.93
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$76.02
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 13.3%)
$41.50
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$35.27
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$58.15
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$52.86
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$17.97
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7944 shares
2026-02-04
Melissa Thomas
SELL
22082 shares
2025-12-10
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