CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$23.68
0.45 (1.94%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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1 traders called CNK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.70
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $23.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.74 to $23.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.45 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.45 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$22.74 -
$23.98
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($31.45)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.74 -
$23.98
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.99
Resistance Level
$25.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.97
Wall Street Target
$31.45
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.81
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.40
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$22.00
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$23.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 83.3%)
$159.38
(+586%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 83.3%)
$78.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 83.3%)
$66.64
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$49.81
(+110%)
Analyst growth 92.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$45.28
(+91%)
Market implied 92.5%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$15.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$24.57
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7200 shares
2025-08-15
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