CNR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.
$82.77
-1.31 (-1.56%)
▼
5d:
-2.52%
30d:
-7.74%
90d:
-9.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.12
26.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $82.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.34 to $93.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.25 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $80.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.25 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.34 -
$93.11
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($110.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.34 -
$93.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.58
Resistance Level
$90.54
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.00
Wall Street Target
$110.25
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.1%
Profit Margin
-1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.38
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.12
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$73.00
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$82.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 69.0%)
$616.69
(+645%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 69.0%)
$279.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 69.0%)
$237.45
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$93.56
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James A Brock
SELL
40760 shares
2026-03-18
John Rothka
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-17
John Rothka
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-10
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