CNVS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNVS - Cineverse Corp. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-VIDEO TAPE RENTAL
$2.00
-0.03 (-1.48%) ▼
5d: -18.03%
30d: -1.96%
90d: -33.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CNVS is down 18.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNVS is currently trading at $2.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.02 to $2.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNVS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+275.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $2.02 - $2.21
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 31th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 275.0% below Wall St target ($7.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.02 - $2.21
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.26 (13.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.97
Resistance Level $2.47
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.57
Wall Street Target $7.50 (+275.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.0%
Profit Margin -1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 28.6 vs 30.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.96 (-2%)
2-Year Target $1.92 (-4%)
3-Year Target $1.88 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→30) $2.00 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 30.4
Stabilization Target: $2.13 (+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.4%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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