CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$64.25
0.05 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-3.6%
30d:
+0.47%
90d:
+0.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.77
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $64.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.22 to $65.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.27, while resistance sits at $67.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.27, while resistance sits at $67.56.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.22 -
$65.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.22 -
$65.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.27
Resistance Level
$67.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.17
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.44
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$64.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$64.83
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$117.41
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$80.71
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$68.60
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$87.12
(+36%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$79.20
(+23%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$43.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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