CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$72.43
-1.40 (-1.90%)
▼
5d:
+1.86%
30d:
+0.29%
90d:
+20.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.04
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $72.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.24 to $72.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.50, while resistance sits at $75.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.50, while resistance sits at $75.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$69.24 -
$72.95
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.24 -
$72.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.50
Resistance Level
$75.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.10
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.04
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$77.74
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$80.54
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$72.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$115.87
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.9%)
$90.98
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 7.9%)
$77.34
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$99.98
(+38%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$90.89
(+26%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$50.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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