COCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COCO - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Common Stock
$46.63
-0.34 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
-16.39%
30d:
-19.69%
90d:
-12.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
COCO is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-05-15 with 26 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
Get Alerted When COCO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: COCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: COCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.26
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.45
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COCO is currently trading at $46.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.91 to $57.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (31.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: COCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.22 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: COCO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.22 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$51.91 -
$57.49
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($62.22)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.91 -
$57.49
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.75
Resistance Level
$59.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.55
Wall Street Target
$62.22
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.6%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 31.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.17
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.67
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$36.46
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→32)
$47.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: 18.6%)
$78.35
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.6%)
$71.49
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.6%)
$60.77
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$93.52
(+68%)
Analyst growth 60.8%, PE expands to 48.9
Base Case
$85.02
(+52%)
Market implied 60.8%, PE stable at 44.4
Bear Case
$35.96
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.5 to 31.7
Stabilization Target:
$60.65
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is COCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Es Charles Van
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-16
Jonathan Burth
SELL
60000 shares
2026-03-16
Corey Baker
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-16
Top Rated Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KO
The Coca-Cola Company |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$83 | 60 HOLD |
|
MNST
Monster Beverage Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$87 | 59 HOLD |
|
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$36 | 58 HOLD |
|
CELH
Celsius Holdings Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$68 | 50 HOLD |
|
KOF
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de C… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$113 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced COCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COCO price and gamma walls.
