What is the fair value of COHR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for COHR to be between $238.82 and $271.08. The current price is $216.17.

What is the analyst price target for COHR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for COHR is $284.25. This implies a potential upside of 16.7% from current levels.

COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COHR - Coherent Corp.

OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES

$216.17

-27.31 (-11.22%) ▼

5d: -15.24%

30d: -16.51%

90d: +12.75%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Smart Money Accumulation

COHR is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $130 2026-06-18 with 2,603 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COHR is down 15.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$361.44

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$224.43

3.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $216.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $238.82 to $271.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.8) is in line with its historical norms (31.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $220.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $284.25 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $238.82 - $271.08

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.2%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($284.25)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $238.82 - $271.08

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $220.05

Resistance Level $281.16

Current Trend Support Break

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.80

Wall Street Target $284.25 (+16.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 73.0%

Profit Margin 4.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium

PE vs Historical 32.8 vs 31.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $246.40 (+1%)

2-Year Target $249.36 (+2%)

3-Year Target $252.35 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→32) PE COMPRESSION $243.15 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 32.8, Growth: 38.7%) $650.18 (+167%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 38.7%) $444.09 (+82%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 38.7%) $377.47 (+55%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 13.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $19.00

Bull Case $307.97 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.1

Base Case $255.05 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.4

Bear Case $195.11 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Howard H Xia SELL 3240 shares 2026-03-17

Howard H Xia SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-16

Stephen A Skaggs SELL 3523 shares 2026-03-09

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Advanced COHR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.

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