COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$212.18
-3.68 (-1.70%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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3 traders called COHR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: COHR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: COHR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$306.80
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $212.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.31 to $205.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.0) compared to its historical average (29.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $186.03, while resistance sits at $237.18.
Market Sentiment: COHR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $186.03, while resistance sits at $237.18.
Market Sentiment: COHR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$183.31 -
$205.24
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($195.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.1% growth with 17.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$183.31 -
$205.24
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.03
Resistance Level
$237.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.04
Wall Street Target
$195.32
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.9%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
34.0 vs 29.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$226.87
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$238.44
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$250.60
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.0, Growth: 24.7%)
$418.43
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$274.12
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.7%)
$233.00
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 30.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.07
Bull Case
$256.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case
$212.18
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$162.32
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Sheridan Eng
SELL
7136 shares
2025-08-29
Julie Sheridan Eng
SELL
7136 shares
2025-08-29
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Advanced COHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.
