COLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COLM - Columbia Sportswear Co
$55.33
0.05 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
+3.44%
30d:
+0.44%
90d:
+7.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COLM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: COLM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.06
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COLM is currently trading at $55.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.52 to $56.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COLM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: COLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$53.52 -
$56.07
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($59.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.52 -
$56.07
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.26
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.72
Resistance Level
$56.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.52
Wall Street Target
$59.33
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.39
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$55.44
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$55.50
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.3%)
$64.08
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: -1.3%)
$53.21
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: -1.3%)
$45.23
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$53.76
(-3%)
Analyst growth -11.6%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$48.87
(-12%)
Market implied -11.6%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$37.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is COLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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