CPRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPRT - Copart Inc
$40.58
0.30 (0.74%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.99
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPRT is currently trading at $40.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.89 to $40.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.89 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.89 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$38.89 -
$40.92
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($48.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.89 -
$40.92
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.73
Resistance Level
$41.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.35
Wall Street Target
$48.89
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Profit Margin
34.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.96
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$39.64
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$39.32
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$40.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$51.55
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$51.44
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.6%)
$43.73
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$49.41
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$44.92
(+11%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$27.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$41.28
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Liaw
SELL
24283 shares
2025-10-15
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Thomas N Tryforos
SELL
228840 shares
2025-09-15
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