CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$109.05
0.05 (0.05%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.19
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $109.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.54 to $109.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 87.4) is in line with its historical norms (82.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$107.54 -
$109.90
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.72)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$107.54 -
$109.90
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.12
Resistance Level
$110.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
87.40
Wall Street Target
$115.72
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.4%
Profit Margin
17.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
87.4 vs 82.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$111.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$113.63
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$116.01
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 87→82)
PE COMPRESSION
$108.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 87.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$142.96
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$36.48
(-67%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$31.01
(-72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 43.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$59.55
(-45%)
Analyst growth -49.5%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case
$54.14
(-50%)
Market implied -49.5%, PE stable at 43.4
Bear Case
$72.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CPT price and gamma walls.
