CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPT - Camden Property Trust

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$98.54
1.58 (1.63%) ▲
5d: +0.4%
30d: -9.05%
90d: -9.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 288% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.76
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $98.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.54 to $108.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 55.5) compared to its historical average (72.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 287.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.20 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $99.54 - $108.69
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($115.20)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $99.54 - $108.69
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $96.53
Resistance Level $102.32
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 55.55
Wall Street Target $115.20 (+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 287.6%
Profit Margin 24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 55.6 vs 72.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.62 (-9%)
2-Year Target $81.00 (-17%)
3-Year Target $74.03 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 56→73) $97.02 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 55.6, Growth: 34.9%) $237.96 (+145%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.9%) $95.95 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 34.9%) $81.55 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case $53.55 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case $48.68 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case $66.20 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 55.6 to 72.8
Stabilization Target: $127.06 (+31.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.0%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gallagher SELL 169 shares 2026-02-18
Laurie Baker SELL 2168 shares 2026-02-18
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-05

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