CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$98.54
1.58 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
-9.05%
90d:
-9.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 288% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.6% annual earnings decline despite 288% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $98.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.54 to $108.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 55.5) compared to its historical average (72.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 287.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.20 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.20 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$99.54 -
$108.69
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($115.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$99.54 -
$108.69
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.53
Resistance Level
$102.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
55.55
Wall Street Target
$115.20
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
287.6%
Profit Margin
24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
55.6 vs 72.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.62
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$81.00
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$74.03
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 56→73)
$97.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 55.6, Growth: 34.9%)
$237.96
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.9%)
$95.95
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 34.9%)
$81.55
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case
$53.55
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$48.68
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$66.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 55.6 to 72.8
Stabilization Target:
$127.06
(+31.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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