EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$65.02
-0.81 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+6.07%
90d:
+3.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
EQR is up 4.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $65 2026-07-17 with 537 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.99
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $65.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.13 to $65.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.8) is in line with its historical norms (41.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$61.13 -
$65.53
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.49)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.13 -
$65.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.51
Resistance Level
$66.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.78
Wall Street Target
$70.49
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.6%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
42.8 vs 41.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$65.93
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$66.40
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$91.87
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.2%)
$47.33
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$40.23
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$44.02
(-32%)
Analyst growth -39.2%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$40.02
(-38%)
Market implied -39.2%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$44.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced EQR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQR price and gamma walls.
