EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$60.78
-0.36 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+1.2%
30d:
+0.85%
90d:
+0.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
EQR is up 3.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $55 2026-04-17 with 846 OI. Put ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.56
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.26
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $60.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.84 to $61.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.4) is in line with its historical norms (41.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.93 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.93 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$58.84 -
$61.38
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($69.93)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$58.84 -
$61.38
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.08
Resistance Level
$61.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.39
Wall Street Target
$69.93
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.4 vs 41.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$59.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$58.97
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→42)
$60.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$82.55
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$42.04
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$35.73
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.93
Bull Case
$34.54
(-43%)
Analyst growth -48.6%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$31.40
(-48%)
Market implied -48.6%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$41.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.4 to 41.7
Stabilization Target:
$62.75
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 13, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
Robert Garechana
SELL
3637 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced EQR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQR price and gamma walls.
