INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$28.48
0.02 (0.07%)
▲
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
+8.37%
90d:
+6.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
INVH is up 5.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $22.5 2026-07-17 with 2,058 OI. Put ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.44
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $28.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.27 to $28.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 41.8) compared to its historical average (36.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.41 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.41 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$26.27 -
$28.57
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.41)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 9.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.27 -
$28.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.14
Resistance Level
$29.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.81
Wall Street Target
$31.41
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
41.8 vs 36.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.79
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$31.16
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$32.59
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$28.62
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$15.08
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 16.2%)
$12.82
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$22.66
(-20%)
Analyst growth -28.3%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case
$20.60
(-28%)
Market implied -28.3%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$19.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-12-19
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
