CRESY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRESY - Cresud SA

Real Estate
$12.72
0.47 (3.84%) β–²
5d: +3.16%
30d: +12.47%
90d: +2.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRESY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRESY is currently trading at $12.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.14 to $12.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 121.1) is in line with its historical norms (111.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRESY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $12.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: CRESY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.93 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $11.14 - $12.18
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.93)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.14 - $12.18
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.31 (10.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.43
Resistance Level $12.75
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 121.14
Wall Street Target $14.93 (+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 182.3%
Profit Margin 19.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 121.1 vs 111.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.09 (+3%)
2-Year Target $13.47 (+6%)
3-Year Target $13.86 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 121β†’111) PE COMPRESSION $12.70 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 121.1, Growth: -59.1%) $9.27 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -59.1%) $1.71 (-87%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -59.1%) $1.45 (-89%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case $6.51 (-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case $5.92 (-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case $8.05 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 01, 2026 3:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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