CRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRM - Salesforce, Inc.
$185.03
5.72 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
-5.2%
30d:
-5.01%
90d:
-30.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$335.88
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$208.55
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRM is currently trading at $185.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.18 to $198.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.82, while resistance sits at $202.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.85 (+52.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.82, while resistance sits at $202.38. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.85 (+52.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$185.18 -
$198.57
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($273.85)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$185.18 -
$198.57
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.82
Resistance Level
$202.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.67
Wall Street Target
$273.85
(+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.61
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$151.11
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$138.72
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$179.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.4%)
$406.35
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$248.02
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.4%)
$210.82
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.80
Bull Case
$361.37
(+85%)
Analyst growth 68.1%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$328.51
(+68%)
Market implied 68.1%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$132.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$232.14
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Blair Kirk
BUY
2570 shares
2026-03-18
David Taylor
SELL
2026-02-26
David Taylor
SELL
2026-02-26
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