CSAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSAN - Cosan S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing four Common Shares)
$4.40
-0.13 (-2.87%)
▼
5d:
+1.38%
30d:
+11.39%
90d:
-1.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.65
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSAN is currently trading at $4.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.82 to $4.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.76, while resistance sits at $4.75.
Market Sentiment: CSAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSAN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.76, while resistance sits at $4.75.
Market Sentiment: CSAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$3.82 -
$4.32
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($5.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.82 -
$4.32
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.76
Resistance Level
$4.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.53
Wall Street Target
$5.38
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
-31.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$4.60
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$4.70
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.30
(-2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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