PSX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSX - PHILLIPS 66
$176.42
1.92 (1.10%)
▲
5d:
+2.71%
30d:
-3.36%
90d:
+0.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
Get Alerted When PSX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PSX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PSX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.53
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSX is currently trading at $176.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.14 to $181.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $170.02, while resistance sits at $188.00.
Market Sentiment: PSX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.50 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $170.02, while resistance sits at $188.00.
Market Sentiment: PSX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.50 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$170.14 -
$181.04
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($194.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.14 -
$181.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.02
Resistance Level
$188.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$194.50
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.8%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 11.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$160.56
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$153.18
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$176.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.0%)
$345.70
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: -3.0%)
$160.84
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: -3.0%)
$136.71
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.12
Bull Case
$330.23
(+87%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$300.21
(+70%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$118.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$203.70
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PSX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin J Mitchell
SELL
15629 shares
2026-03-30
Kevin Omar Meyers
BUY
175 shares
2026-03-17
Lisa Ann Davis
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$264 | 63 BUY |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$272 | 65 BUY |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$5 | 54 HOLD |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$76 | 65 BUY |
|
SUN
Sunoco LP |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$74 | 60 BUY |
Advanced PSX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PSX price and gamma walls.
