DINO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$68.71
-0.67 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
-2.54%
30d:
+17.9%
90d:
+19.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
DINO is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $82.5 2026-06-18 with 1,610 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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1 traders called DINO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DINO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DINO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.44
Based on -9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $68.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.78 to $69.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.87, while resistance sits at $74.72.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.87, while resistance sits at $74.72.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$57.78 -
$69.56
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.78 -
$69.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.87
Resistance Level
$74.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$72.93
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.9%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.35
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$71.34
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$72.33
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -23.7%)
$96.27
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -23.7%)
$50.58
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -23.7%)
$42.99
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.66
Bull Case
$68.36
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$62.14
(-10%)
Market implied -10.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$46.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julia Letlow
SELL
2026-02-20
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Advanced DINO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DINO price and gamma walls.
