CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$33.50
-1.06 (-3.07%)
▼
5d:
+1.92%
30d:
+12.98%
90d:
+37.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
CSTM is up 6.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $27 2026-06-18 with 333 OI. Put ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.45
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $33.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.27 to $32.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.41, while resistance sits at $34.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.65 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.41, while resistance sits at $34.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.65 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.27 -
$32.99
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.27 -
$32.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.41
Resistance Level
$34.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.26
Wall Street Target
$37.65
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.90
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$32.30
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$31.72
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$33.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -16.2%)
$40.60
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: -16.2%)
$24.42
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: -16.2%)
$20.76
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$30.69
(-8%)
Analyst growth -19.3%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$27.90
(-17%)
Market implied -19.3%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$23.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$35.38
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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