CSWC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSWC - Capital Southwest Corp
$23.15
-0.29 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+4.51%
90d:
+14.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CSWC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSWC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSWC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.66
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSWC is currently trading at $23.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.38 to $23.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSWC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.38 -
$23.45
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 16.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.38 -
$23.45
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.03
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.65
Resistance Level
$23.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.44
Wall Street Target
$23.92
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Profit Margin
39.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$24.27
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$24.86
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -5.5%)
$41.71
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: -5.5%)
$19.52
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: -5.5%)
$16.59
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$35.75
(+54%)
Analyst growth 38.6%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$32.50
(+40%)
Market implied 38.6%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$15.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CSWC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ramona Lynn Rogers-Winds…
BUY
463 shares
2025-10-01
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$159 | 56 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$40 | 63 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$174 | 52 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$20 | 51 HOLD |
|
DBRG
Digitalbridge Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$16 | 60 BUY |
