CTVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTVA - Corteva, Inc. Common Stock
$72.80
-1.04 (-1.41%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CTVA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.14
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTVA is currently trading at $72.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.48 to $71.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $74.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $74.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$67.48 -
$71.75
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.52)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$67.48 -
$71.75
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.42
Resistance Level
$74.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.82
Wall Street Target
$78.52
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 23.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$77.73
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$79.75
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: -10.8%)
$53.83
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.8%)
$48.36
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -10.8%)
$41.11
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$96.78
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$87.99
(+21%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$49.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert D King
SELL
37280 shares
2025-08-29
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Advanced CTVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTVA price and gamma walls.
