NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$65.06
1.49 (2.34%)
▲
5d:
+6.73%
30d:
-5.02%
90d:
-12.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 1250% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 1250% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.85
Based on -2.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $65.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.50 to $68.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.82 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.82 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$62.50 -
$68.57
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($80.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.50 -
$68.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.46
Resistance Level
$70.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.16
Wall Street Target
$80.82
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.0%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.00
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$59.09
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$56.31
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$64.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -8.3%)
$89.77
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: -8.3%)
$50.13
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: -8.3%)
$42.61
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$76.18
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$69.26
(+6%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$43.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$74.89
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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