NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$71.56
0.62 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+4.73%
30d:
-3.98%
90d:
+1.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
NTR is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-06-18 with 9,671 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.95
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $71.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.84 to $75.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.14, while resistance sits at $77.74.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.40 (+13.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.14, while resistance sits at $77.74.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.40 (+13.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$70.84 -
$75.23
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($81.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.84 -
$75.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.14
Resistance Level
$77.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.52
Wall Street Target
$81.40
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.0%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$68.31
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$66.74
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$71.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -8.6%)
$89.07
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: -8.6%)
$54.58
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: -8.6%)
$46.39
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$84.10
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$76.45
(+7%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$48.24
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$76.73
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTR price and gamma walls.
