CVNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVNA - Carvana Co.
$283.95
-18.10 (-5.99%)
▼
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-15.03%
90d:
-35.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
CVNA is up 7.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 3,100 OI. Put ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
Get Alerted When CVNA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVNA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$491.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$305.15
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVNA is currently trading at $283.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.79 to $331.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.9) compared to its historical average (49.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 946.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $272.32, while resistance sits at $319.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $428.50 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $272.32, while resistance sits at $319.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $428.50 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$295.79 -
$331.25
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($428.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$295.79 -
$331.25
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$272.32
Resistance Level
$319.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.92
Wall Street Target
$428.50
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
946.7%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.9 vs 49.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$271.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$244.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$220.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→50)
$367.21
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.9, Growth: 46.6%)
$950.97
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 46.6%)
$711.93
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 46.6%)
$605.14
(+100%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.44
Bull Case
$370.07
(+24%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$336.42
(+12%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$191.27
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.9 to 49.9
Stabilization Target:
$503.72
(+66.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Taira
SELL
953 shares
2026-03-09
J Danforth Quayle
SELL
2900 shares
2026-03-09
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KMX
CarMax Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$40 | 60 HOLD |
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$387 | 52 HOLD |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 58 HOLD |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$9 | 49 HOLD |
|
CWH
Camping World Holdings I… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$15 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced CVNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVNA price and gamma walls.
