ACVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACVA - ACV Auctions Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$5.72
0.07 (1.24%) β–²
5d: -12.0%
30d: +16.5%
90d: -12.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACVA is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.90
42.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACVA is currently trading at $5.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.62 to $5.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.00, while resistance sits at $6.70.

Market Sentiment: ACVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.22 (+61.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.62 - $5.71
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 61.1% below Wall St target ($9.22)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.62 - $5.71
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.00
Resistance Level $6.70
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.48
Wall Street Target $9.22 (+61.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Profit Margin -8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 23.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.15 (-10%)
2-Year Target $4.63 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.17 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’24) $5.97 (+4%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 73.6%) $25.82 (+351%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 73.6%) $19.30 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 73.6%) $16.41 (+187%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 23.6
Stabilization Target: $8.19 (+43.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +43.2%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George Chamoun BUY 24272 shares 2026-03-09
Andrew Peer SELL 1750 shares 2026-01-15
George Chamoun BUY 14286 shares 2026-01-12

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