CW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CW - Curtiss-Wright Corp.
$632.06
-31.50 (-4.75%)
ā¼
5d:
-8.2%
30d:
-9.75%
90d:
+11.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: CW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: CW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$599.39
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$372.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CW is currently trading at $632.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $670.95 to $710.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.9) is in line with its historical norms (41.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $640.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $711.43 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CW is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $640.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $711.43 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$670.95 -
$710.01
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($711.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$670.95 -
$710.01
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$29.87
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$640.55
Resistance Level
$716.72
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.88
Wall Street Target
$711.43
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.9 vs 41.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$615.63
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$599.62
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$584.03
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38ā41)
$633.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$866.46
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$511.19
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$434.51
(-31%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $24.24
Bull Case
$831.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$688.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$526.73
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.9 to 41.1
Stabilization Target:
$685.73
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
George P Mcdonald
SELL
151 shares
2026-03-17
John C Watts
SELL
220 shares
2026-03-17
K Christopher Farkas
SELL
918 shares
2026-03-17
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