Is CWAN stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CWAN is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CWAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CWAN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CWAN to be between $23.24 and $23.52. The current price is $23.65.

What is the analyst price target for CWAN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CWAN is $24.47. This implies a potential upside of 3.5% from current levels.

CWAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CWAN - Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$23.65

0.10 (0.42%) ▲

5d: +1.98%

30d: +0.51%

90d: -1.87%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CWAN Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 27d

Smart Money Accumulation

CWAN is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $22.5 2026-05-15 with 5,445 OI. Call ratio: 81% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CWAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -62.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$0.84

Based on -29.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$0.52

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWAN is currently trading at $23.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.24 to $23.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 91.0) compared to its historical average (104.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 202.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CWAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $23.24 - $23.52

Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.47)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.24 - $23.52

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.18

Resistance Level $23.66

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 90.96

Wall Street Target $24.47 (+3.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 72.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 202.8%

Profit Margin -5.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 91.0 vs 104.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $22.61 (-4%)

2-Year Target $21.61 (-9%)

3-Year Target $20.66 (-13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 91→104) $23.63 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 91.0, Growth: -62.6%) $17.24 (+-27%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -62.6%) $4.24 (-82%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -62.6%) $3.60 (-85%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 91.0 to 104.0

Stabilization Target: $27.04 (+14.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.3%

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

James S Cox SELL 18700 shares 2026-03-16

Souvik Das SELL 10000 shares 2026-03-09

James S Cox SELL 93930 shares 2026-02-18

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Advanced CWAN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CWAN price and gamma walls.

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