MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$67.86
-0.55 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
+10.0%
30d:
-8.11%
90d:
-46.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
18d
Smart Money Distribution
MNDY is up 8.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $70 2026-05-15 with 1,097 OI. Put ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNDY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.1% annual earnings decline despite 233% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNDY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.1% annual earnings decline despite 233% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$205.21
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.42
46.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $67.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.20 to $73.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 233.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.50, while resistance sits at $73.58.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.64 (+83.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.50, while resistance sits at $73.58.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.64 (+83.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$64.20 -
$73.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 83.7% below Wall St target ($124.64)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$64.20 -
$73.06
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.50
Resistance Level
$73.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.49
Wall Street Target
$124.64
(+83.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
233.1%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 21.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$54.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$49.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→21)
$78.12
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 24.2%)
$198.47
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 24.2%)
$129.89
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 24.2%)
$110.40
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case
$139.81
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$127.10
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$43.21
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$107.16
(+57.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 22, 2026 4:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.
