MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$72.07
-4.32 (-5.66%)
▼
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
+15.52%
90d:
-26.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
MNDY is up 7.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 321 OI. Put ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNDY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNDY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.84
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.22
41.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $72.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.75 to $72.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 233.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.89, while resistance sits at $78.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.64 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.89, while resistance sits at $78.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.64 (+70.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$63.75 -
$72.21
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($122.64)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.75 -
$72.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.89
Resistance Level
$78.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.33
Wall Street Target
$122.64
(+70.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
233.1%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$58.38
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$52.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$74.78
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.3%)
$212.04
(+194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 24.3%)
$138.52
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$117.75
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case
$168.06
(+133%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$152.78
(+112%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$51.95
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$102.58
(+42.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.
