CX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CX - Cemex S.A.B. de C.V.

Cement, Hydraulic
$12.48
-0.41 (-3.18%) β–Ό
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.35
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.15
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CX is currently trading at $12.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.78 to $12.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $11.78 - $12.78
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($12.11)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 4.7% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.78 - $12.78
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.31
Resistance Level $13.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.18
Wall Street Target $12.11 (-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -22.2%
Profit Margin 8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 15.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.01 (+1%)
2-Year Target $13.12 (+2%)
3-Year Target $13.24 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’16) PE COMPRESSION $12.85 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.0%) $21.76 (+69%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 7.0%) $15.78 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 7.0%) $13.42 (+4%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case $12.68 (+2%)
Analyst growth -12.4%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case $11.53 (-8%)
Market implied -12.4%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case $8.96 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CX price and gamma walls.

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