D Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

D - Dominion Energy, Inc Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$67.13
5.40 (8.75%) ▲
5d: +7.3%
30d: +7.55%
90d: +2.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your D Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

D is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 5,821 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: D shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.89
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: D is currently trading at $67.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.58 to $64.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, D is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $61.58 - $64.10
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.35)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $61.58 - $64.10
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.04
Resistance Level $68.97
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.20
Wall Street Target $66.35 (+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.2%
Profit Margin 16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 16.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $61.17 (-1%)
2-Year Target $60.62 (-2%)
3-Year Target $60.08 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $61.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.1%) $100.37 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 6.1%) $73.69 (+19%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 6.1%) $62.64 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case $77.84 (+26%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case $70.76 (+15%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case $42.82 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 16.6
Stabilization Target: $63.24 (+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.4%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29

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