DAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAC - Danaos Corporation

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$132.91
0.51 (0.39%) ▲
5d: +0.48%
30d: +14.33%
90d: +26.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.26
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.60
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAC is currently trading at $132.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.27 to $128.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.4) is in line with its historical norms (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.00 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $115.27 - $128.52
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($147.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $115.27 - $128.52
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $117.19
Resistance Level $135.21
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.42
Wall Street Target $147.00 (+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.6%
Profit Margin 49.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 5.4 vs 5.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $134.11 (+1%)
2-Year Target $135.31 (+2%)
3-Year Target $136.53 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→5) PE COMPRESSION $133.39 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: -11.2%) $393.65 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: -11.2%) $96.89 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 4.6, Growth: -11.2%) $82.36 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.68
Bull Case $133.74 (+1%)
Analyst growth -8.2%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case $121.58 (-9%)
Market implied -8.2%, PE stable at 5.0
Bear Case $90.03 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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NEUTRAL

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