DAWN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAWN - Day One Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$21.53
0.04 (0.19%) ▲
5d: +0.28%
30d: +0.8%
90d: +78.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your DAWN Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAWN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAWN is currently trading at $21.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.46 to $21.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -504.2) compared to its historical average (73.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAWN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $21.46 - $21.50
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

Protect Your Profits

DAWN is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.50)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.46 - $21.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.36 (1.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.45
Resistance Level $21.53
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -504.22
Wall Street Target $21.50 (-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 83.9%
Profit Margin -67.8%
PE vs Historical -504.2 vs 73.7 CHEAP
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Last updated: May 22, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles N York II SELL 6065 shares 2026-02-17
Jeremy Bender SELL 15459 shares 2026-02-17
Lauren Merendino SELL 5814 shares 2026-02-17

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Advanced DAWN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAWN price and gamma walls.

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