TVTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TVTX - Travere Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$56.92
0.58 (1.03%) ▲
5d: -3.57%
30d: +32.5%
90d: +81.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your TVTX Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TVTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.80
18.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TVTX is currently trading at $56.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.24 to $56.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TVTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.75, while resistance sits at $60.10.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $46.24 - $56.50
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.36)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.24 - $56.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.75
Resistance Level $60.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.73
Wall Street Target $58.36 (+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.6%
Profit Margin -4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 11.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.58 (-1%)
2-Year Target $56.24 (-1%)
3-Year Target $55.90 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) $56.69 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 159.6%) $356.56 (+526%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 159.6%) $192.11 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 159.6%) $163.29 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 11.9
Stabilization Target: $57.72 (+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.4%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William E Rote SELL 9100 shares 2026-04-22
Christopher R Cline SELL 1014 shares 2026-04-15
Elizabeth E Reed SELL 6785 shares 2026-04-15

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Advanced TVTX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TVTX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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