DAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAY - Dayforce, Inc.
$69.27
0.11 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.35
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.35
8.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAY is currently trading at $69.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.15 to $69.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$69.15 -
$69.40
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.15 -
$69.40
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.00
Resistance Level
$69.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.38
Wall Street Target
$69.92
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.0%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.23
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$69.30
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$69.37
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 20.8%)
$122.05
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.8%)
$107.23
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.8%)
$91.14
(+32%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Price T Rowe Associates …
SELL
1191 shares
2025-10-23
Price T Rowe Associates …
SELL
3077 shares
2025-10-22
Stephen H Holdridge
SELL
2000 shares
2025-10-15
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