DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DCO - Ducommun Incorporated

AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC
$113.35
1.63 (1.46%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: DCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.64
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.92
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $113.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.77 to $113.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.1) compared to its historical average (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.62, while resistance sits at $117.07.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $98.77 - $113.16
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 21th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($121.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $98.77 - $113.16
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$5.71 (5.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $108.62
Resistance Level $117.07
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.12
Wall Street Target $121.60 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 57.7%
Profit Margin -4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.7% premium
PE vs Historical 25.1 vs 22.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $115.85 (+4%)
2-Year Target $120.14 (+8%)
3-Year Target $124.59 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25β†’23) PE COMPRESSION $111.58 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.1, Growth: 20.9%) $197.61 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.9%) $175.41 (+57%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.9%) $149.10 (+34%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DCO price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for DCO

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