DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$122.00
4.90 (4.18%)
▲
5d:
-1.54%
30d:
-6.36%
90d:
+26.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.65
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.08
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $122.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.65 to $130.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.60, while resistance sits at $127.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.60 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.60, while resistance sits at $127.52. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.60 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$121.65 -
$130.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($143.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$121.65 -
$130.80
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.02
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.60
Resistance Level
$127.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.20
Wall Street Target
$143.60
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Profit Margin
-4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 24.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$118.85
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$117.30
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$121.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$223.57
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 22.4%)
$215.40
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$183.09
(+50%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$126.74
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
Jerry L Redondo
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-10
Jerry L Redondo
SELL
1594 shares
2025-11-10
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