DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$561.80
9.95 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+4.29%
30d:
-6.91%
90d:
-13.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$458.01
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$284.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $561.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $542.78 to $599.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $518.05, while resistance sits at $592.89.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $518.05, while resistance sits at $592.89.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$542.78 -
$599.61
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($537.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$542.78 -
$599.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$518.05
Resistance Level
$592.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.12
Wall Street Target
$537.00
(-4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.7%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 21.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$549.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$537.35
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$525.53
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$561.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -14.1%)
$447.58
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -14.1%)
$409.55
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -14.1%)
$348.12
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.05
Bull Case
$403.06
(-28%)
Analyst growth -33.6%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$366.41
(-35%)
Market implied -33.6%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$375.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$600.28
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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