DINO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$51.99
0.74 (1.44%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DINO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DINO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.05
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $51.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.98 to $50.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.43 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DINO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.43 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$46.98 -
$50.54
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($60.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.98 -
$50.54
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.80
Resistance Level
$52.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.40
Wall Street Target
$60.43
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.9%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$52.62
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$52.93
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$169.51
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 15.0%)
$79.02
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.0%)
$67.17
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$111.69
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$101.54
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$34.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DINO price and gamma walls.
