SUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$70.08
0.09 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
+10.8%
90d:
+18.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.21
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.09
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $70.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.35 to $67.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 135.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.35 -
$67.86
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.35 -
$67.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.80
Resistance Level
$70.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.80
Wall Street Target
$72.63
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
106.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.5%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.80
(0%)
2-Year Target
$69.52
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$69.24
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$70.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.9%)
$367.29
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 22.9%)
$130.02
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 22.9%)
$110.52
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.92
Bull Case
$146.30
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$133.00
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$45.22
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$70.96
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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