DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$51.09
-2.03 (-3.82%)
▼
5d:
-4.34%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+13.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.39
Based on -8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $51.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.32 to $54.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$52.32 -
$54.02
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($49.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.2% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.32 -
$54.02
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.06
(4.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.71
Resistance Level
$54.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$49.00
(-7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Profit Margin
17.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.01
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$63.34
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$69.17
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -21.3%)
$71.04
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: -21.3%)
$38.72
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -21.3%)
$29.81
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$82.60
(+55%)
Analyst growth 42.3%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$75.10
(+41%)
Market implied 42.3%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$35.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-03-04
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-02-04
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-01-05
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