DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$49.69
-1.75 (-3.40%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DKL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DKL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.17
11.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $49.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.63 to $49.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.65, while resistance sits at $51.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.25. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.65, while resistance sits at $51.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.25. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$45.63 -
$49.30
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DKL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.0% above Wall St target ($44.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.63 -
$49.30
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.01
(4.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.65
Resistance Level
$51.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$44.25
(-14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.29
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$55.21
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$57.20
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 44.0%)
$368.31
(+616%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 44.0%)
$153.63
(+199%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 44.0%)
$130.59
(+154%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.08
Bull Case
$99.16
(+100%)
Analyst growth 79.5%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$90.15
(+81%)
Market implied 79.5%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$34.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2025-10-06
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2025-09-12
Charles J Brown III
SELL
1134 shares
2025-08-20
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Advanced DKL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DKL price and gamma walls.