DLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DLX - Deluxe Corporation

BLANKBOOKS, LOOSELEAF BINDERS & BOOKBINDG & RELATD WORK
$26.40
-0.72 (-2.65%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DLX is 7.4% above fair value ($24.58). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.16
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.55
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DLX is currently trading at $26.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.23 to $24.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DLX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.39, while resistance sits at $27.26.

Market Sentiment: DLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.67 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $22.23 - $24.58
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $22.23 - $24.58
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.39
Resistance Level $27.26
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.97
Wall Street Target $29.67 (+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.2%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.0 vs 6.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.29 (0%)
2-Year Target $26.19 (-1%)
3-Year Target $26.08 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) $26.20 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.5%) $147.99 (+461%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 14.5%) $39.64 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 5.1, Growth: 14.5%) $33.69 (+28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case $52.58 (+99%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case $47.80 (+81%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case $16.25 (-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.0
Stabilization Target: $26.52 (+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William C Zint BUY 175 shares 2025-09-10

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DLX price and gamma walls.

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